banning sales of passenger cars with internal combustion engines is becoming a common climate change mitigation policy。this study analyzes the effects of such a ban on the carbon footprints of passenger car travel in Sweden using a novel vehicle turnover model and prospectA Ban on internal combustion enginees results in significantly decreased carbon footprints primarily due to reduced tailpipe CO2 emissions。the full effect of a ban is delayed due to fleet inertia。increasing the pace of electrification is beneficial for the carbon footprint regardless of global manufacturing decarbonization path ways。a ban in 2030 is not sufficient to reach national policy targets for the transport sector,requiring either an earlier ban(I . e .,2025)risks of carbon leakage may motivate extending current regulations of vehicle-specific tailpipe emissions to also cover carbon footprints for new
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